Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.408121 3.983182 4.595277 5.292170 6.060471 6.878598 7.812559
2024-10-06 2.761991 3.589721 4.533685 5.676324 7.008389 8.499135 10.280189
2024-10-13 2.251910 3.233434 4.425322 5.946590 7.803857 9.966098 12.641193
2024-10-20 1.814996 2.873936 4.239162 6.067825 8.392481 11.190912 14.754056
2024-10-27 1.416832 2.484067 3.945813 5.997309 8.705469 12.065842 16.454610
2024-11-03 1.183320 2.274821 3.851391 6.152843 9.285978 13.268557 18.574047
2024-11-10 0.983104 2.074196 3.734626 6.250501 9.774017 14.351156 20.556631
2024-11-17 0.771500 1.810990 3.487482 6.131121 9.944532 15.009228 21.997699
2024-11-24 0.596450 1.570251 3.238550 5.976290 10.040333 15.552835 23.285639
2024-12-01 0.476634 1.402406 3.080705 5.935642 10.281683 16.284617 24.824048
2024-12-08 0.374247 1.242356 2.912134 5.857472 10.453571 16.914247 26.228421
2024-12-15 0.333546 1.206156 2.954286 6.113175 11.122782 18.244588 28.599525
2024-12-22 0.273819 1.112071 2.883687 6.185304 11.528416 19.231184 30.548266
2024-12-29 0.248625 1.098464 2.963437 6.513143 12.336513 20.809902 33.345067
2025-01-05 0.218644 1.063429 2.996340 6.760435 13.025973 22.232674 35.951378
2025-01-12 0.181504 0.995083 2.952620 6.868273 13.496398 23.345653 38.142415
2025-01-19 0.137391 0.885444 2.806196 6.779278 13.644439 23.985289 39.673951
2025-01-26 0.115970 0.843428 2.800159 6.942824 14.201956 25.236498 42.087707
2025-02-02 0.094869 0.791930 2.764741 7.046194 14.659621 26.343076 44.306502
2025-02-09 0.067889 0.697404 2.613015 6.914829 14.718253 26.846370 45.661977
2025-02-16 0.046049 0.605481 2.450018 6.745550 14.700682 27.226939 46.838987
2025-02-23 0.032756 0.544356 2.354310 6.700941 14.890117 27.923355 48.481463
2025-03-02 0.021898 0.482421 2.243922 6.615614 15.001695 28.496953 49.947382